Future Fit Farming: Policy solutions for a diverse, resilient EU farming sector
Mounting challenges underline the need to rethink the future of agriculture and food production in Europe. The combined social, economic, and environmental costs of global food systems are estimated to be as high as 19 trillion USD annually, or 22% of global GDP in 2020.1 2 Natural ecosystems play a critical role in growth and economic development, with more than half of global GDP reliant on ecosystem services. In the EU, these ecosystem services were valued at 187 billion EUR in 2018, underscoring their role in maintaining economic stability and agricultural productivity.3
Biodiversity and healthy ecosystems are essential for agriculture, providing crucial services such as pollination, soil fertility, and water regulation. Intensive animal agriculture, however, drives biodiversity loss by clearing forests and high-value ecosystems, predominantly for livestock or feed production. This loss negatively impacts food systems, weakening resilience and contributing to issues like soil erosion, pollinator decline, and the proliferation of invasive species. Safeguarding ecosystems is therefore vital to ensuring agricultural sustainability and productivity.
Global food systems are responsible for a third of greenhouse gas emissions, with EU agriculture contributing 11% to 13% of net GHGs, primarily from methane and nitrous oxide.4 5 6 These emissions, combined with extreme weather events caused by climate change, threaten agricultural productivity and farmer livelihoods.
Agriculture, as a key driver of these problems, also needs to be central to their solutions. Addressing these challenges requires a fundamental shift to the current production paradigm. Diversifying agricultural production should involve:
- Shifting away from intensive livestock production.
- Adopting a ‘less and better’ approach to livestock production.
- Incentivising the production of plant-based whole foods for direct human consumption – such as lentils, beans, chickpeas, fruits, and vegetables – or for ingredients in plant-based food products.
On-farm solutions explored in this policy brief include:
- Increasing production of specialty crops
- Expanding plant-based protein crop processing and manufacturing
- Adopting organic practices
- Adopting regenerative farming practices.
Policy change
On a global level, the FAO, the UNDP, and the UNEP have all highlighted the fact that 87% of agricultural subsidies are inefficient, inequitable, distort food prices, harm people’s health, or degrade the environment.7 8 In the EU, more than 80% of the support provided by the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) is directed towards emissions-intensive animal agriculture – despite the sector’s significant contribution to GHG emissions and biodiversity loss, and its negative impact on economic development, agricultural resilience, and food security.9 Currently, income-support payments that are tied to farm size encourage intensive production, monocropping, and other unsustainable practices, further driving corporate consolidation, as smaller farms are outcompeted. This policy approach favours fewer, larger farms, leaving smallholders at a disadvantage in the open market. Policy frameworks need to address these issues and aim to broadly prioritise the livelihoods of agricultural workers, farmers, and rural communities, while also supporting the production of foods that contribute to meeting climate targets, food system resiliency, and human health.
Policy recommendations
Click on a recommendation for more details.
Reform agricultural subsidies
Increase the proportion of CAP subsidies that are allocated to sustainable crop production as a way to incentivise diversification.
Current subsidies make plant foods disproportionately expensive, compared to animal products. CAP’s coupled income support mechanism (CIS) should prioritise sustainable crop production by increasing support for protein crops, fruit, and vegetables. Furthermore, payments for ecosystem services – including soil health, animal welfare, biodiversity, and social conditions – provide fair incentives for farmers.
Implement true-cost accounting in food production by integrating environmental and health costs into CAP subsidies.
True-cost accounting for food production should shape subsidy reforms by aligning financial incentives with farming practices that reflect the external costs of production. This involves redirecting subsidies away from systems that contribute to environmental degradation and impact negatively on public health, and toward sustainable, organic, and regenerative farming methods.
Improve access to capital and funding
Develop value chains that empower farmers to capture more value from diversified production, supported by infrastructure and market development.
The incumbent system of agriculture, especially intensive livestock production, is entrenched in several path dependencies, including cultural attitudes, existing infrastructure, institutions, policies, power dynamics, and research-and-innovation priorities. Given that strategic support for crop diversification is essential, stronger provisions are needed for incentivising farmers to grow more protein-rich crops for direct human consumption.
Expanding legume production, especially as part of organic and regenerative methods, can enhance soil health, increase crop biodiversity, and reduce reliance on synthetic fertilisers, while also creating new economic opportunities for farmers and across the value chain. Furthermore, given that strategic support for crop diversification is essential, the next iteration of CAP needs to include stronger provisions for incentivising farmers to grow more protein-rich crops for direct human consumption.
Establish a dedicated grant fund to help farmers to diversify their crops and shift toward more sustainable agricultural practices and products.
Dedicated funds for research and development need to increasingly focus on region-specific planning for farm diversification, tailored to domestic requirements, capabilities, and market competitiveness.
A just-transition funding mechanism is needed for the EU’s agri-food sector, similar to that which the European Commission has established for the energy sector. Such a mechanism could incorporate a one-off investment in order to support the development of new infrastructure that meets environmental requirements and targets, while also promoting the adoption of sustainable business models. The 2024 report by the Strategic Dialogue on the Future of EU Agriculture recommends the establishment of a temporary fund – the Agrifood Just Transition Fund (AJTF) – that is separate from CAP funding. Additionally, there is a need for greater mobilisation of both public and private capital in order to enable both small- and large-scale farmers, along with food-system stakeholders broadly, to transition towards sustainable production models.
Increase access to low- and no-interest loans to help farmers develop viable and sustainable businesses that meet evolving consumer demands.
Access to financial support, including low-interest loans and capacity-building services, is crucial in order for farmers to shift to viable business models that incorporate sustainable agri-environmental practices. To facilitate resilient and sustainable farming practices, the Strategic Dialogue on the Future of EU Agriculture likewise emphasises the need to adapt CAP in order to strengthen farmers’ access to finance and improve their position within agri-value chains.
Develop knowledge and infrastructure systems
Establish comprehensive technical assistance and infrastructure development programmes.
The changes in agricultural practices that are required for diversification need to be accompanied by investments in training and knowledge networks. Farmers and other land managers will need access to a broad range of diversification strategies, supported by advisory services (also called ‘extension services’). Advisory services are currently geared predominantly toward intensive production. Rebalancing these services to support farmers pursuing or currently practicing organic, regenerative, or plant-based (or other broadly agroecological) farming will be essential for fostering a diverse, resilient, and sustainable farming sector. Offering farmers access to case studies and success stories will encourage diversification.
Launch public trials with farmers and create model-demonstration networks to inform technical support for diversifying farming practices and improving regional supply chains.
Model demonstration networks would improve rural advisory services (or ‘extension services’), build trust within farming communities, and assist in developing regional supply chains, with a strategic role for farmers and targeted agricultural products.
Set up peer-to-peer knowledge-exchange programmes in order to facilitate collaboration and skill-sharing among farmers.
Governments and NGOs should allocate resources in order to establish peer-to-peer consultant networks that bring together farmers, local communities, governments, and industry partners. These forums would help to facilitate the sharing of knowledge about diversification and climate-resilience strategies, as well as helping to mobilise funding and advocate for policy changes.
Drive demand for sustainable produce
Introduce minimum requirements for plant-based and organic foods in public food-procurement policies.
Establishing minimum requirements for food produced through organic or regenerative practices can help local governments to reduce and mitigate the long-term impacts of unsustainable diets. These requirements could also create a stable market for local, small-scale producers, stimulating local economies and reconnecting consumers with their food sources.
Lower VAT rates on plant-based and organic products in order to make sustainable options more accessible to consumers.
VAT on organic and plant-based foods is often higher than that on animal-based products. Retailers also tend to apply higher profit margins to organic and plant-based products. These factors collectively reduce the affordability of more sustainable options. Creating a level playing field for these more sustainable options is essential, while continued innovation in plant-based food production will reduce long-term costs.
Foster farmer-forward policies
Build long-term support systems for farmers that are focused on autonomy and community engagement.
Effective policies need to reflect farmers’ perspectives, avoid overly prescriptive measures, and restore their decision-making autonomy. In order to successfully diversify agricultural production systems, securing buy-in from farming communities is imperative. However, short-term concessions will only dilute the intentions of environmental-policy frameworks and build resistance to the uptake of new technologies. A systems-transformation on this scale needs to be founded on a long-term vision and decisive leadership. Governments need to enhance planning security and provide structural support for sustainable practices, thus helping to foster agency and capacity building.
Streamline reporting requirements so as to reduce the administrative burden on farmers.
The responsibility for monitoring, reporting, and verification systems, including aspects such as methane emissions and labour intensity, often falls on producers, which places an unfair burden, especially on smallholders. Streamlining these complex reporting methods could enhance the uptake of eco-schemes, making it easier for farmers to adopt sustainable practices and receive incentives for doing so.
Download the full policy brief
Explore these challenges and solutions in greater detail by downloading the full policy brief. This brief provides actionable insights and recommendations for building a more resilient, sustainable, and inclusive agricultural future in Europe. Its insights are informed by conversations with representatives from farming organisations. The brief closes by considering some examples of successful policy change.
Authors
Nicole Rocque & Josh Bisig
References
- Ruggeri Laderchi, C., et al. (2024). The Economics of the Food System Transformation. Food System Economics Commission (FSEC), Global Policy Report.
- Hendriks, S. et al. (2023). The True Cost of Food: A Preliminary Assessment. In: von Braun, J., Afsana, K., Fresco, L.O., Hassan, M.H.A. (eds) Science and Innovations for Food Systems Transformation. Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-15703-5_32
- Vysna, V., Maes, J., Petersen, J.E., La Notte, A., Vallecillo, S., Aizpurua, N., Ivits, E., Teller, A., Accounting for ecosystems and their services in the European Union (INCA). Final report from phase II of the INCA project aiming to develop a pilot for an integrated system of ecosystem accounts for the EU. Statistical report. Publications office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2021.
- Crippa, M., E. Solazzo, D. Guizzardi, et al. (2021): Food systems are responsible for a third of global anthropogenic GHG emissions. Nature Food 2(3), 198–209. doi:10.1038/s43016-021-00225-9
- EEA (2023): Annual European Union greenhouse gas inventory 1990–2021 and inventory report 2023. Submission to the UNFCCC Secretariat. Available at: https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/annual-european-union-greenhouse-gas-2 [Accessed: 22.08.2024]
- EC (n.d.): Climate Change and Air Quality. Available at: https://agridata.ec.europa.eu/extensions/DashboardIndicators/Climate.html [Accessed: 03.09.2024]
- FAO, UNDP and UNEP (2021): A multi-billion-dollar opportunity – Repurposing agricultural support to transform food systems. In brief. Rome. https://doi.org/10.4060/cb6683en
- UNEP (2021): A Multi-Billion-Dollar Opportunity: Repurposing agricultural support to transform food systems. Available at: https://www.unep.org/resources/repurposing-agricultural-support-transform-food-systems [Accessed: 27.08.2024]
- Kortleve, A. J., J. M. Mogollón, H. Harwatt, et al. (2024): Over 80% of the European Union’s Common Agricultural Policy supports emissions-intensive animal products. Nature Food 5(4), 288–292. doi:10.1038/s43016-024-00949-4