Investing in a plant-rich future 

Just as the automobile industry pivots from gas-powered to electric vehicles and the energy sector from fossil fuels to renewables, the food system is poised for its own transformative shift. Crucially, these transitions are motivated not only by an environmental imperative but by a clear economic opportunity. New technologies and innovations can lead to job creation, spur economic growth, and open up new markets.

The transition towards plant-rich diets and alternative proteins is therefore not just a matter of sustainability or ethics. It represents a vast economic frontier. Moreover, the plant-based and alternative proteins sector can create better incomes and stability for farmers, contribute to more diverse food company portfolios, improve food system resilience, and strengthen domestic food security, making a huge contribution to the EU economy.1 2

Based on real-life examples of good food policy, this policy brief examines the potential of a plant-forward transition and shows why investing in alternative proteins is good for national economies as well as our planet.  

The environmental and public health impetus to diversify our protein supply is becoming more, not less, urgent. Potential for growth and innovation remains abundant. 

  • The economic benefits of a food systems transformation are estimated to be at a minimum of 5 trillion USD per year – including rising incomes as part of the transition could further increase those benefits to 10 trillion USD per year.4
  • Total agricultural income in the EU could increase by 71% by 2050 with a transition to the planetary health diet.5  
  • In Denmark 27,000 new jobs would be created, if Denmark gets a share of 1 – 3% of the global market for plant-based food.6 7  
  • Just a modest increase in the global market share of alternative proteins from today’s 2% to 8% by 2030 could yield an emissions reduction equivalent to the almost total decarbonisation of the aviation industry.8 

So far, the majority of investment in plant-based foods and alternative proteins has come from private sources, such as venture capitalists and impact investors. Public investments, however, are also critical. Since the start of this decade alone, governments have allocated over USD 1:34 trillion towards clean energy initiatives.9 As with other sustainable technologies, governments must invest now to maximize their economic and environmental potential. 

A significant and sustained increase in public funding for plant-based foods and protein diversification is needed. The focus should be both on whole foods and organic and technological innovations such as fermentation. 

Publicly funded research enables the success of important innovations that drive economic growth.

Key stakeholders (farmers, manufacturers, retailers) will be needed to enable a just transition. Public transformation funds will help to minimize challenges.

To make it as easy as possible for consumers to choose healthy and sustainable foods, governments should promote plant-based meals in public catering.

Governments should promote plant-based foods and alternative proteins through social marketing campaigns to increase the adoption of healthy sustainable diets at scale.

Good food policy can help achieve Sustainable Development Goals since all goals are directly or indirectly connected to sustainable and healthy food.15

References

  1. Cusworth G. et al. (2021): Legume dreams: The contested futures of sustainable plant-based food systems in Europe. Global environmental change: human and policy dimensions vol. 69: 102321. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102321
  2. Stagnari F. et al. (2017): Multiple benefits of legumes for agriculture sustainability: an overview. Chem. Biol. Technol. Agric. 4, 2. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40538-016-0085-1
  3. City of New York (2023): Eat Plants!. Available at: https://www.nyc.gov/site/doh/about/press/pr2023/nyc-launches-eat-a-whole-lot-more-plants.page
  4. Food System Economics Commission (2024): The Economics of the Food System Transformation. Available at: https://foodsystemeconomics.org/wp-content/uploads/FSEC-Global_Policy_Report.pdf 
  5. Rieger J. et al. (2023): From fork to farm: Impacts of more sustainable diets in the EU ‐27 on the agricultural sector. Journal of Agricultural Economics 74(3), 764–784. doi:10.1111/1477-9552.12530
  6. AgriFoodTure (2021): Roadmap for sustainable transformation of the Danish agri-Food System. Available at: https://agrifoodture.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/agrifoodture_roadmap_2022.pdf
  7. Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Fisheries of Denmark (2023): Danish Action Plan for Plant-based Foods. Available at: https://fvm.dk/fileadmin/user_upload/Dokumentation/Danish-Action-Plan-for-Plant-based-Foods.pdf
  8. Boston Consulting Group(2023): Taking Alternative Proteins Mainstream. Available at: https://www.bcg.com/publications/2023/taking-alternative-protein-trends-mainstream
  9. International Energy Agency (2023): Governments are continuing to push investment into clean energy amid the global energy crisis. Available at: https://www.iea.org/news/governments-are-continuing-to-push-investment-into-clean-energy-amid-the-global-energy-crisis#.
  10. Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Fisheries of Denmark (2023): Action Plan on Plant-Based Foods. Available at: https://en.fvm.dk/focus-on/action-plan-on-plant-based-foods
  11. De Rijksoverheid. Voor Nederland (2023): National Growth Fund. Available at: https://www.nationaalgroeifonds.nl/overzicht-lopende-projecten
  12. Fassier P. et al. (2023). Impact of a French social marketing campaign promoting pulse and whole grain consumption: results from a longitudinal cohort study. Frontiers in nutrition, 10, 1208824. https://doi.org/10.3389/fnut.2023.1208824
  13. ProVeg International (2023): German government allocates groundbreaking €38 million for the promotion of alternative proteins. Available at: https://proveg.org/press-release/german-government-allocates-groundbreaking-e38-million-for-the-promotion-of-alternative-proteins/
  14. Eos Wetenschap (2019): Vlaanderen investeert in kweekvlees, EOS Wetenschap. Available at https://www.eoswetenschap.eu/voeding/vlaanderen-investeert-kweekvlees
  15. Stockholm Resilience Centre (2016): The SDGs wedding cake. Available at: https://www.stockholmresilience.org/research/research-news/2016-06-14-the-sdgs-wedding-cake.html